Southwest Airlines slashes profit outlook as fuel costs climb

Southwest Airlines has joined a growing list of major U.S. carriers revising their financial future downward, citing persistent pressure from rising fuel prices. The airline now anticipates adjusted earnings between $2.60 and $2.85 per share for 2026, a sharp retreat from the more optimistic $3.25 to $4.25 range projected just last July.

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Southwest Airlines slashes profit outlook as fuel costs climb

Despite the dimmed outlook, the carrier outperformed Wall Street expectations for the third quarter. Southwest posted adjusted earnings of 66 cents per share against an anticipated 58 cents, while revenue reached $8.42 billion, comfortably exceeding the $8.25 billion forecast by LSEG. CEO Bob Jordan attributed this resilience to strong passenger demand, which persisted even as the company navigated the transition away from its historic business model.

To drive revenue growth, Southwest is systematically dismantling the policies that defined its brand for decades. The airline has moved to eliminate its signature open-seating policy and is phasing out the long-standing perk of two free checked bags. By adopting seat assignment fees and baggage charges, the carrier is aligning its operations with the traditional model used by its primary domestic competitors. Jordan maintains that these structural changes, combined with current booking trends, prove the company’s underlying earnings power remains durable despite the volatility of the energy market.

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